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Last week I forecast
that stocks would either re-test 1,040 and breakdown or rally to 1,100. Stocks
once again opted to accomplish both of my forecasts falling to test 1,040 on
Tuesday before starting the mother of all ramp jobs Tuesday afternoon into
Friday.

Quantifying The Top 10 China Risks

Morgan Stanley's Qing Wang has created a new tracking concept, the China Macro Risk Radar (CMRR), whose sole goal is to provide a framework to asses and monitor risk events of low to moderate probability (high probability events already have their own standing at the firm and are singled out in client calls) and high impact. As part of its inaugural edition, MS has assigned 10 risk events to four different categories on the CMRR - each risk event is assessed according to six aspects, including its description, content, potential impact, likelihood, timeframe, and evolving direction. We present the top 10 items that are of concern to investors in China, and are likely to provide even more ammunition to the ever increasing roster of China bears.

Hatzius Makes The Strongest Case For QE2 Yet, Or How $1 Trillion In QE Buys 0.5% In GDP (And Increasingly Less)

Will Unemployment Continue to Climb?

From The Daily Capitalist

Last Friday the latest employment numbers came out and revealed that private employment was up by 67,000 jobs, but overall unemployment was up, to 9.6% from 9.5%, because of government worker layoffs (mainly Census workers). This means that 14.9 million people are unemployed (under the narrower U-3 definition).